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EBITDA vs. Cash Flow: What Matters More in Heavy Construction Valuations?

Financial paper charts and graphs on the table

Accurately valuing a construction company requires more nuance than you might think. While the core tenets of business valuation still apply — we’re always going to care about working capital and projected earnings — we have to look at the information through a slightly different lens.

For heavy construction companies — i.e., those with high capital expenditures — the disconnect between cash outlays and billings collections is far more dramatic than in other sectors. The uneven nature of project cycles can make a contractor look incredibly profitable in one quarter and like they’re facing a liquidity crisis in the next. Finding the true value of the business requires you to look past the surface and dig into what’s actually happening.

EBITDA doesn’t tell the whole story.

EBITDA is often seen as the universal standard for determining business value. Since companies in every sector report it, it’s a metric that stakeholders understand. But the EBITDA of a construction company with high equipment costs is often misleading.

EBITDA focuses on top-line earnings but tells us little about cash flow, capital expenditures, or the actual take-home profit available to owners. By definition, EBITDA is a business’s earnings without considering interest, taxes, depreciation, or amortization. In equipment-heavy industries like construction, the “D” and the “A” can be significant, and ignoring them can mask the true economic cost of operating an asset-heavy business.

How EBITDA distorts reality

When we ignore depreciation and amortization, we create two blind spots for equipment-heavy contractors:

  • EBITDA inflates earnings relative to accounting profit:
    Depreciation decreases accounting profit. When an appraiser adds those expenses back to calculate EBITDA, the metric increases, making the company look more profitable than it is on an accounting basis. And now that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act reinstated 100% depreciation, those depreciation write-offs are even larger, making the disparity even more significant.
  • EBITDA ignores the cost of replacing assets:
    Construction companies are required to invest in new machinery nearly every year to maintain operations. EBITDA tells us nothing about the cash required to fund these ongoing purchases and to maintain the equipment they already own. Even though depreciation is a non-cash expense, it often indicates future reinvestment needs — so when EBITDA adds those amounts back in, it removes this signal, effectively concealing the true cost of staying in business.

Does that mean cash flow is a better valuation metric?

In many cases, yes. Cash flow can be a more relevant metric for valuing a heavy construction business because cash plays such an important role in staying operational. Cash is needed for:

  • Capital expenditures: Heavy construction is a capital-intensive industry, which is expensive. Understanding how much cash is going toward equipment purchases and maintenance is helpful information for appraisers and relevant for investors.
  • Retainage fees: Most other industries get paid in full quickly after they invoice. But the standard 5%-10% retainage fee in construction means that a contractor may not see all of that cash for months or even years.
  • Upfront project costs: Cash matters because of the lag between project costs and project billings. If a company doesn’t have the cash reserves to front expenses like bonding premiums, site prep, and initial materials, they may not have the working capital to complete the job at all.

What cash flow metrics are most useful in business valuations?

There are many ways an appraiser will assess the health of a company’s cash position. Here are a few metrics they’ll look at:

  • Free cash flow (FCF) is the cash that remains after a company pays its operating expenses and equipment purchases. High FCF shows appraisers that the business can likely afford to start a new project or replace its fleet without taking on debt.
  • Operating cash flow (OCF) is the cash generated by a company’s core operations, excluding financing or investing activities. A higher OCF indicates a company is self-sustaining, while a lower OCF might indicate that cash is trapped in uncollected retainage or that invoices aren’t getting paid.
  • Cash flow forecast is a projection of cash inflows and outflows. Appraisers can use forecasts to see if there will be shortages, which could indicate that the company will need to rely on short-term loans to get by.

What other metrics matter when valuing a construction business?

Beyond cash, appraiser look at other factors to adjust for risk. Here are a few of these metrics and how they help determine financial stability of a heavy construction company.

  • Bonding capacity is a contractor’s credit limit. High bonding capacity is effectively a seal of approval from the surety company because they’ve ascertained that the business has the financial strength to take on larger, more complex projects.
  • Backlog is a business’s queued up projects. Appraisers want to see a deep backlog of work.
  • Backlog quality matters too. If competitive, hard-won bids are the only things in the queue, there’s more risk that margins will be lost if the project veers off course.
  • High customer concentration puts contractors and developers at risk, because their success is closely linked to the success of their customers.
  • Project diversification is when work is spread across different sectors. Contractors with more project diversity — a mix of public and private, residential and commercial — can weather economic shifts more easily.
  • Equipment condition and age both impact business value. An aging fleet represents a looming drain of cash reserves and therefore higher risk.
  • Contract terms dictate: how quickly you get paid, how frequently you bill for work, retainage fees, and prepayments, just to name a few. Appraisers want to see favorable contract terms.

How to prepare for a business valuation

If you’re a heavy construction company preparing for a business valuation, it’s essential to look beyond just EBITDA to get the full picture. While earnings on paper are important, the financial and non-financial metrics we discussed — cash flow, backlog quality, and equipment health — are what truly determines market value.

Strategically strengthening these areas of your business may sound daunting, but taking proactive steps to improve operations and cash management can pay dividends if you’re looking to sell, increase bonding capacity, boost ESOP value, or anything else. Reach out to your Meaden & Moore construction advisors for information about how we can help you maximize your business’s true value.

Lloyd W.W. Bell III is Director of the Cor­porate Finance Group at Meaden & Moore. He has over 30 years of experience in financial management.

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